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Pire cent fois cest an que l’an passé,
Mesme au plus Grands du regne & de l’Eglise :
Maux infinis, mort, exil, ruine, cassé,
A mort Grande estre, peste, playes & bille.
The key to this quatrain is in the first line: When the year is spent:" The second line strongly indicates the French Monarchy and the Catholic Church, though he was more accepting of Protestantism later on than he was officially, there is still only one church according to Nostradamus..
This can only refer to the French Revolution. The year is 1792. In October of that year the National Constituent Assembly abolished the monarchy. By the end of the year, Louis was on trial for his life. The result was already a foregone conclusion, the Constituent Assembly meant to have his head one way or another. He gave his defense on December 27th. But it was a doomed effort.
The Revolution continued to pick up steam. It was busy selling off the property of the Church as rapidly as it could. It declared many nobles to be emigrants and executed others. People were being Guillotined left and right. The Reign of Terror was approaching.
Neiges, rouillures, pluys & playes grandes,
Au plus Grands joye, pestilence insopie :
Semences, grains beaucoup, & plus de bandes,
S’appresteront, simulté n’amortie.
Entre les Grands naistre grande discord,
Le Clerc procere un grand cas brassera :
Nouvelles sectes mettre en haine & discorde,
Tout peuple guerre & change offensera.
The first line demands that this be the French Revolution, it can be no other. The nobility, the great born, were in great discord because of the Revolution, many were executed and others fled. The new sects were the Girondins and the Montagnards, along with the Cult of Reason and the Cult of the Supreme Being. But with the power that the Montagnards had, all that resulted was hatred. France taught the rest of Europe what it meant to truly mobilize a population in defense of the nation – the French people easily matched the numbers the rest of Europe were mobilizing to crush the revolution, which offended their royalist sensibilities.
As for the great case that was put off? There are, as far as I can tell, several options. First, the reviving of the legislative body which became the National Assembly. Second, the fact that the legislature should legislate for the people as a whole. Third, that no man, even a monarch, should be above the law. Which one it is, take your pick.
Secret conjur, changement perilleux,
Secrettement conspirer factions :
Pluyes, grands vents, playes par orgueilleux,
Inonder flumes, pestifere actions.
Note: The key to this quatrain proved to be the part about the plague like actions. Having directly studied the dread plague during its pneumonic phase, Nostradamus learned that it was transmittable by air. He did not observe the buboles that is a consequence of the main way the plague is transmitted. This fact meant that we were looking for a weapon that was transmitted through the air and dependent upon the wind in a fairly localized environment, exactly like the plague in Aix while Nostradamus was fighting it. Only gas warfare fits this description. Consequently this could only refer to the First World War. No other war utilized gas like this war did.
When Archduke Franz Ferdinand was assassinated, it caused not even a stir. The only one who reacted was Emperor Franz Joseph and he reacted with joy. The conservative Franz Joseph had disliked the liberal Franz Ferdinand and considered the assassination to be an Act of God. However, it did not take long for Count Leopold von Berchtold, the Austrian foreign minister and an overly proud individual as well, to realize he had a golden opportunity.
Berchtold drafted a list of ten demands that he threw at the Serbians. The demands were worded in such a way that he knew that the Serbian nation would not accept them all. Surprisingly, the official French and Russian positions were for Serbia to accept all ten demands. Worse for Berchtold's plans, Britain even offered to mediate. But Berchtold countered Britain and sent envoys to his allies in Germany. The Chief of the German General Staff, Count Helmuth Von Moltke the Younger, as well as the German Foreign Minister, Gottlieb Von Jagow, wanted war and unconditionally supported Berchtold in his efforts. The Kaiser even gave Berchtold a blank check, though when the Kaiser displayed a somewhat pacifistic side, his ministers Moltke and Jagow hid communications from him while he went on his trip to the North Sea.
Of course, Serbia rejected stationing Austrian police inside their border, which gave Berchtold great joy, he immediately declared war on Serbia. Following their interests, Russia mobilized in defense of Serbia. Then in keeping with their word to Austria, Germany mobilized to stop Russia and the plans of Moltke launched an assault through Belgium to attack France, even though the Kaiser ordered Moltke to not attack the west. Naturally, France was very busy mobilizing its own forces when the Germans marched.
The war progressed. The armies marched. They fought. They stagnated and dug trenches in the west. Gas warfare started being used, this was damaging to Germany in the western front thanks to the winds that favored France, though they used it with great effectiveness against Russia in the east thanks to the very same winds. It rained warfare on all sides and there was rivers of death. 4 million casualties before it was all over, an unheard of number.
Pullu.er peste, les Sectes s’entrebartre,
Temps moderé l’hyver peu de retour :
De messe & presche griefuement foy debattres,
Inonder fleuves, maux, mortels tour autour.
About the only thing I can say is that the second line seems to be indicating global warming. Beyond that, I cannot say much about this.
Au menu people par debats & querrelles,
Et par les femmes & defunts grande guerre :
Mart d’une Grande, celebrev escrouelles,
Plus grandes Dames expulsées de terre.
Mart on line 3 is strange because I would have thought Nostradamus would have written Mort on line 3. But he wrote Mart, a word I cannot figure out. This may be an erroneous reading on Sève’s part. If so, then death is the word. Still, why would Sève get this word wrong? This is a word the meaning of which I cannot figure out.
I keep debating between the French Revolution and the First World War. The great ladies being expelled is strongly indicative of the French Revolution. But the term Great War was the term applied to the First World War, Nostradamus could have known this. I will not say this is an error on his part, the warfare styles are just too different and he would have had to know it. I therefore leave this to the reader.
Viduité tant masles que femelles,
De grands Monarques la vie pericliter :
Peste, fer, faim, grand peril pesle mesle,
Troubles par changes petits Grands conciter.
The small great ones could be the nobility of the past or the bourgeoisie of the present. I also cannot figure out pesle or mesle.
Gresle, rouilleure, pluyes & grandes playes,
Preserver femmes, seront cause du bruit :
Mort de plusieurs peste, fer, faim par hayes,
Ciel sera veu quoy dire qu’il reluit.
This may surprise a lot of people but the second line is strongly indicative of an Islamic fulfillment. The term preserver of women is explainable in the Quor'an by the fact that no Muslim should attack a woman for any reason. Of course, few Muslim men actually follow this dictate but it is in there.
This strongly indicates a future fulfillment.
Point ne sera le grain à suffisance,
La mort s’approche à neiger plus que blanc :
Sterilité, grain pourri, de eau bondance,
Le grand blesse, plusieurs de mort de flanc.
This sounds like the consequences of a biological attack. The abundance of water clearly indicates that it is not a drought. The rottenness of the grain indicates that something wrong is happening, either a fungus or bacteria that devours the grain, or something else. Sterility backs the something else. All the signs points to a massive biological attack, with a resulting famine and death toll.
Guere de fruits, ni grain, arbres & arbrisseaux,
Grand volataille, procere stimuler :
Tant temporel que prelat leonceaux,
TOLANDAD vaincre proceres reculer.
Du tout changé persecuter l’un quatre,
Hors maladie, bien loin mortalité :
Des quatre deux plus ne viendront debatre,
Exil, ruine, mort, faim, perplexité.
The four, or fourth, or four parts, of line 1 and 3 are indicative. Of the four, 1 seems to suffer persecutions and death. Two parts (half) seem to want to deny the debates. The last part seems to be the cause.
Des grands le nombre plus grands ne sera tant,
Grands changement, commotions, fer, peste :
Le peu devis: prestez, payez, contant,
Mois opposite gelée moleste.
Note: There is no month or yearly statement on this presage, which makes it odd indeed. Almost certainly this was an error on Sève's part. I put in the year and month because it does fit the pattern.
Forte gelée, glace plus que concorde,
Vefues matrones feu deploration :
Jeux, esbars, joye, Mars citera discorde,
Par mariages bonne expectation.
The first line refers not to a time of the year but to the state of negotiations. Between the sides, there is an icy feel. The two are cold to each other. The hatred is almost palpable. But the quatrain seems to indicate that marriages will bring peace.